Presidential Election Predictions

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Presidential Election Predictions; No Inflammatory Commentary, Just Predict
Topic Started: Nov 1 2004, 10:42 AM (1,215 Views)
~~YankeeGiantAQPHB~~	Nov 1 2004, 10:42 AM Post #1
Dude, you're so banned Posts: 2,795 Group: Banned Member #136 Joined: May 30, 2004	I say Kerry wins the election. There's a bunch of swing states available for the taking, and I think Kerry will get an important state like Ohio even if he doesn't get Florida. Bush would need to get a bunch of the other swing states to make up for losing Ohio's 20, which I think is unlikely. Kerry will end up with like 275 of the needed 270 electoral votes to win. Factors that have made me reach this conclusion 1. Redskins lost 2. My father the jinxer that never gave Boston a shot to win has predicted Bush will win quite arrogantly(Will he ever learn to shut up and be humble) 3. The fact that this is going to be a close election again, with various polls giving this race a tie or a slight lead to Bush, and it seems likely that more voters will turn around to click Kerry's name this time around.



champ4life	Nov 1 2004, 12:11 PM Post #2
Posts: 5,003 Group: Members Member #65 Joined: April 28, 2004	I think Bush will win simply because I see him taking Ohio and Florida. The Redskins game would have given me hope, if Boston hadn't just rewritten history a few weeks ago. Not only that, I see him winning fairly convincingly. 289-259.



Ray	Nov 1 2004, 01:45 PM Post #3
Army Strong Posts: 29,676 Group: Ruay Member #31 Joined: January 29, 2004	I think it's idiocy every time someone refers to the Redskins game. Yeah, so history has gone ONE way the last 70-some years....big deal. I just laugh every time I hear someone say "Oh sh*t, the Redskins lost....it's Kerry's election! Even Kerry himself referred to it yesterday. :rolleyes: BTW, I'm not making any predicitions. Bad luck.



~~YankeeGiantAQPHB~~	Nov 1 2004, 01:50 PM Post #4
Dude, you're so banned Posts: 2,795 Group: Banned Member #136 Joined: May 30, 2004	I was half-kidding about the Redskins loss deciding the election in my eyes. The real factor is my dad, the jinx, saying he believes Bush will win. My dad just has a skill of being wrong like none other.



Ray	Nov 1 2004, 01:52 PM Post #5
Army Strong Posts: 29,676 Group: Ruay Member #31 Joined: January 29, 2004	LieberFastWheeler Nov 1 2004, 12:50 PM I was half-kidding about the Redskins loss deciding the election in my eyes. The real factor is my dad, the jinx, saying he believes Bush will win. My dad just has a skill of being wrong like none other. Well, I'm superstitious when it comes to things like that, but I just have a feeling that none of that sh*t matters this time around. I don't know why.



Chilli Cheese	Nov 1 2004, 02:06 PM Post #6
Posts: 2,302 Group: Members Member #245 Joined: October 20, 2004	[size=14]K[/size][size=14]E[/size][size=14]R[/size][size=14]R[/size][size=14]Y[/size]



timotime	Nov 1 2004, 04:02 PM Post #7
Posts: 8,415 Group: Members Member #19 Joined: January 29, 2004	Bush will win. I've accepted the fact that the majority of the poeple in this country are stupid.



~~YankeeGiantAQPHB~~	Nov 1 2004, 04:10 PM Post #8
Dude, you're so banned Posts: 2,795 Group: Banned Member #136 Joined: May 30, 2004	"No Inflammatory Commentary, Just Predict" Timo



nayruslovespell	Nov 1 2004, 04:41 PM Post #9
Posts: 1,023 Group: Members Member #61 Joined: April 28, 2004	I feel the same way as Timo. I'm ready to accept that Bush will win.



FloydNbunch	Nov 1 2004, 04:54 PM Post #10
Does WrightNbunch sound good? Posts: 8,259 Group: Members Member #170 Joined: July 11, 2004	270towin.com[/URL]My honest prediction is a Kerry win, I know, surprising.... Kerry will win Florida, which is the single most important battleground state. I also see him winning Ohio and Penn. That is it, he would need no other battleground state. You can play around with the EC here.... [url=www.270towin.com]. The voter turnout in the most important states will also be beneficial to Kerry. Bottom line is there are too many people in the country who just hate Bush. However, im keeping my fingers crossed.



TheOne	Nov 1 2004, 04:59 PM Post #11
I'm still better than you! Posts: 42,180 Group: Members Member #8 Joined: January 29, 2004	bush in 7!!! :serious:



FloydNbunch	Nov 1 2004, 05:07 PM Post #12
Does WrightNbunch sound good? Posts: 8,259 Group: Members Member #170 Joined: July 11, 2004	TheOne Nov 1 2004, 03:59 PM bush in 7!!! :serious: :wha: :wtf: does that mean?



nayruslovespell	Nov 1 2004, 05:11 PM Post #13
Posts: 1,023 Group: Members Member #61 Joined: April 28, 2004	He doesn't know what it means either. It's a joke you know. Like in baseball... red sox in 7, tehehe. :serious:



FloydNbunch	Nov 1 2004, 05:12 PM Post #14
Does WrightNbunch sound good? Posts: 8,259 Group: Members Member #170 Joined: July 11, 2004	nayruslovespell Nov 1 2004, 04:11 PM He doesn't know what it means either. It's a joke you know. Like in baseball... red sox in 7, tehehe. :serious: Oooooooooooooooooooooooooooo, I get it



Ray	Nov 1 2004, 05:31 PM Post #15
Army Strong Posts: 29,676 Group: Ruay Member #31 Joined: January 29, 2004	Chilli Cheese Nov 1 2004, 01:06 PM [size=14]K[/size][size=14]E[/size][size=14]R[/size][size=14]R[/size][size=14]Y[/size] Is that who you WANT to win, or who you THINK will win? :scared:



Ray	Nov 1 2004, 05:32 PM Post #16
Army Strong Posts: 29,676 Group: Ruay Member #31 Joined: January 29, 2004	And timo, you're acting like LFW when you say "everyone that votes for Bush is stupid"......that's not cool. You're saying people are stupid for having their opinions on who should lead? I could turn around and call you stupid for supporting Kerry. I know how much you'd love that.



timotime	Nov 1 2004, 05:41 PM Post #17
Posts: 8,415 Group: Members Member #19 Joined: January 29, 2004	FloydNbunch Nov 1 2004, 05:07 PM TheOne Nov 1 2004, 03:59 PM bush in 7!!! :serious: :wha: :wtf: does that mean? I actually thought it was somewhat funny. :serious:



timotime	Nov 1 2004, 05:42 PM Post #18
Posts: 8,415 Group: Members Member #19 Joined: January 29, 2004	Metsfan4life Nov 1 2004, 05:32 PM And timo, you're acting like LFW when you say "everyone that votes for Bush is stupid"......that's not cool. You're saying people are stupid for having their opinions on who should lead? I could turn around and call you stupid for supporting Kerry. I know how much you'd love that. I didn't say that everyone that votes for Bush is stupid. I said that most are.



cmnyy	Nov 1 2004, 05:42 PM Post #19
Group: Self-Appointed Administrators Posts: 9,568 Group: Members Member #6 Joined: January 29, 2004	I think Nader is going to come out of nowhere and shock the world! :rock:



~~YankeeGiantAQPHB~~	Nov 1 2004, 05:48 PM Post #20
Dude, you're so banned Posts: 2,795 Group: Banned Member #136 Joined: May 30, 2004	timotime Nov 1 2004, 04:42 PM Metsfan4life Nov 1 2004, 05:32 PM And timo, you're acting like LFW when you say "everyone that votes for Bush is stupid"......that's not cool. You're saying people are stupid for having their opinions on who should lead? I could turn around and call you stupid for supporting Kerry. I know how much you'd love that. I didn't say that everyone that votes for Bush is stupid. I said that most are. Can we please avoid the inflammatory political comments? I specifically put that on the topic, since I know how quickly these can get out of hand. Predictions aren't supposed to involve insults.



timotime	Nov 1 2004, 05:50 PM Post #21
Posts: 8,415 Group: Members Member #19 Joined: January 29, 2004	LieberFastWheeler Nov 1 2004, 05:48 PM timotime Nov 1 2004, 04:42 PM Metsfan4life Nov 1 2004, 05:32 PM And timo, you're acting like LFW when you say "everyone that votes for Bush is stupid"......that's not cool. You're saying people are stupid for having their opinions on who should lead? I could turn around and call you stupid for supporting Kerry.� I know how much you'd love that. I didn't say that everyone that votes for Bush is stupid. I said that most are. Can we please avoid the inflammatory political comments? I specifically put that on the topic, since I know how quickly these can get out of hand. Predictions aren't supposed to involve insults. Fine. I think it's too close to call. I can see scenarios in which both will win.



VICTORious	Nov 1 2004, 06:10 PM Post #22
Posts: 11,334 Group: Members Member #66 Joined: April 28, 2004	if bush wins florida he won if not kerry won. Florida is way too close to call and different polls have different results. Unfortunatly gaddlup (the one with the g, the name is escaping me at the moment) has kerry ahead.



Ray	Nov 1 2004, 06:22 PM Post #23
Army Strong Posts: 29,676 Group: Ruay Member #31 Joined: January 29, 2004	I think you're talking about Gallup. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll on NBC Nightly News on Sunday night had Bush at 48%, Kerry at 47%, and Nader at 1%.



FloydNbunch	Nov 1 2004, 06:25 PM Post #24
Does WrightNbunch sound good? Posts: 8,259 Group: Members Member #170 Joined: July 11, 2004	Metsfan4life Nov 1 2004, 05:22 PM I think you're talking about Gallup. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll on NBC Nightly News on Sunday night had Bush at 48%, Kerry at 47%, and Nader at 1%. Yes your right, if your looking at their LV sample which oversampled Republicans by 5%. If you look at Gallups RV sample where they still oversampled Republicans by almost 2%, then you'll see Kerry up 48-46



BostonBoy17	Nov 1 2004, 06:37 PM Post #25
City of Champions Posts: 7,288 Group: Boston Fans Member #122 Joined: May 16, 2004	I will say some of the Red Sox Front Office attended a Kerry Rally in New Hampshire yesterday and showed their support for him. And Curt Schilling was supposed to appear with the president at a rally but couldnt cause of his ankle. But he did record a phone message in support of bush to send to voters . . . . Who I want :dunno: Who will win Bush



BostonBoy17	Nov 1 2004, 06:41 PM Post #26
City of Champions Posts: 7,288 Group: Boston Fans Member #122 Joined: May 16, 2004	cmnyy Nov 1 2004, 04:42 PM I think Nader is going to come out of nowhere and shock the world! :rock: :serious:



FloydNbunch	Nov 1 2004, 06:41 PM Post #27
Does WrightNbunch sound good? Posts: 8,259 Group: Members Member #170 Joined: July 11, 2004	Quote: Who will win Bush :no: Nope, sorry, Kerry will win. By a comfortable margin



VICTORious	Nov 1 2004, 06:42 PM Post #28
Posts: 11,334 Group: Members Member #66 Joined: April 28, 2004	Metsfan4life Nov 1 2004, 05:22 PM I think you're talking about Gallup. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll on NBC Nightly News on Sunday night had Bush at 48%, Kerry at 47%, and Nader at 1%. yes i am the name just escaped me :dunno:



~~YankeeGiantAQPHB~~	Nov 1 2004, 06:45 PM Post #29
Dude, you're so banned Posts: 2,795 Group: Banned Member #136 Joined: May 30, 2004	Regardless of who wins, it definitely will not be by a comfortable margin. There is so much division in this year's election. I cannot see a clear cut winner resulting from this turmoil



FloydNbunch	Nov 1 2004, 06:47 PM Post #30
Does WrightNbunch sound good? Posts: 8,259 Group: Members Member #170 Joined: July 11, 2004	LieberFastWheeler Nov 1 2004, 05:45 PM Regardless of who wins, it definitely will not be by a comfortable margin. There is so much division in this year's election. I cannot see a clear cut winner resulting from this turmoil I think people will be surprised by the race. So many people just HATE Bush that I think it will be bigger than people think



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