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| Iran Watch; News, info and updates | |
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| Topic Started: Aug 17 2004, 09:53 PM (9,378 Views) | |
| Uzizero | Aug 17 2004, 09:53 PM Post #1 |
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Tehran on 11 August announced that it had tested an upgraded version of its Shahab-3 medium-range ballistic missile. The test came just two weeks after Israel's Arrow anti-missile system - designed to negate the Shahab threat - shot down an actual 'Scud' missile for the first time in an exercise meant to validate its growing capabilities. While senior Iranian defence officials said the Shahab field exercise - it was not an actual flight test - was meant to assess the performance of new components that engineers have integrated into the missile, they acknowledged that its timing was no accident. "The Israelis are trying hard to improve the [capability] of their [Arrow] missiles and we are also trying to improve the Shahab-3 in a short time," said Iranian Defence Minister Rear Adm Ali Shamkhani on 7 August while disclosing the pending test. The improvements to the missile "not only concern its range, but other specifications as well", he noted. Regional intelligence sources told JDW that these enhancements include guidance equipment of Chinese origin to improve the missile's accuracy. US intelligence sources could not confirm this claim as JDW went to press. The baseline Shahab-3 is believed to have a range approaching 1,300km - enough to strike Israel. There is no information that the improvements include penetration aids that could help the missile evade the Arrow's interceptors. The sequence of Arrow-Shahab testing comes amid the backdrop of the continuing crisis over Iran's alleged clandestine nuclear weapon programme. Iran has said it would strike at Israel with its ballistic missiles if Israel attacks its nuclear facilities. link |
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| Switik | Aug 18 2004, 05:44 PM Post #2 |
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Scenario: Israel bombs into rubble Iran's nuclear facility Iran retaliates by launching Shahab-3 missiles Israeli Arrow missiles intercept Shahab missiles but only 50% success rate Many Israeli facilities destroyed and civilians killed Israel ups the ante by bombing Iranian military bases and missile launch facilities What will happen next?
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| al'Lan Mandragoran | Aug 18 2004, 07:07 PM Post #3 |
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Iran strikes back with their F-14s and F-5s (??) but all are shot down :D |
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"In wars, boy, fools kill other fools for foolish causes." "Run when you have to, fight when you must, rest when you can." - Robert Jordan; The Wheel of Time | |
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| Duminus | Aug 21 2004, 12:41 PM Post #4 |
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Tensions escalate -- Iran is threatening to strike Israel's nuke facilities:
Full story Israel's enemies are no longer as helpless as before. |
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| spraret | Nov 9 2004, 05:50 PM Post #5 |
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http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L08175848.htm TEHRAN, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Iran threatened on Monday to strike back at Israel or any other country that attacked its nuclear facilities. U.S. and Israeli officials accuse Iran of seeking to develop atomic bombs under cover of a civilian nuclear programme. Iran denies the charges saying it only intends to produce electricity from nuclear power plants. "If Israel or any other country attacks any site in Iran, we know no limits to threaten their interests," Deputy Revolutionary Guards Commander Mohammad-Baqer Zolqadr said. "That means anywhere in the world, within their borders or outside it," he told reporters on Monday on the sidelines of an anti-U.S. conference in Tehran. Israeli warplanes successfully destroyed the Osirak nuclear reactor in Iraq in 1981. Iran has stationed anti-aircraft batteries around its nuclear plants and built many of its facilities underground. Iranian officials have also warned they can strike back at Israel with its medium-range Shahab-3 missile, which can also hit U.S. military bases in the Gulf. Zolqadr denied Iran was developing nuclear weapons, saying the Islamic state preferred to rely on a volunteer militia force, which he said numbered 10 million, to defend the country. Earlier the commander addressed high-school students at a conference entitled "The World Without America". |
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| rahrahman | Jan 24 2005, 10:13 PM Post #6 |
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British dossier argues against a military strike on Iran Foreign Secretary Jack Straw has drawn up a report stating Britain's case against a military strike on Iran. According to media reports, in his 200 page dossier Straw argues against an attack on Iran amidst rising fears that President Bush may seek support for this new conflict. In his report, Straw argues for a "negotiated solution" rather than a military one to halt Iran's suspected ambitions to produce nuclear weapons. Straw believes that "a peaceful solution led by Britain, France and Germany is in the best interests of Iran and the international community," at the same stating the European countries intentions in "safeguarding Iran's right to the peaceful use of nuclear technology." Reportedly, the dossier entitled Iran's Nuclear Programme, was quietly issued in the House of Commons on the eve of Bush's inauguration last week for fear of provoking a public rift with Washington. Furthermore, it appears that relations between the two allies are not as rosy as previously perceived, with tensions running high between them. The Iran report marks a sharp shift in strategy by the Labour government which in the run-up to the war in Iraq had produced two dossiers trumpeting the case to join the U.S. led invasion. As further proof of their lack of desire in joining another war in the Middle East, British Prime Minister Tony Blair will reinforce his governments views to Bush when the two leaders meet up in Brussels, Belgium next month and at an Anglo-American summit to be held in Washington some time after the May general election. It's believed that Straw will also push forward Britain's case to U.S. Secretary of State nominee Condoleezza Rice, a very close Bush confidante, when the pair meet up in London next month. The growing suspicions that the United States is dead set on embarking on a military confrontation with Iran, grew after the publication of Seymour Hersh's report on American commandos operating inside Iran since mid-2004. Even though the Pentagon attacked the report saying it was "riddled with errors of fundamental fact", no explicit denial of the covert operations were ever made. American Vice-President Dick Cheney also waded into the Iranian issue by attempting to deflect attention away from the White House's plans of possibly attacking Iran. He warned that Israel could be the country that launches a pre-emptive strike on its own in an attempt to shut down Iran's nuclear program. http://www.aljazeera.com/cgi-bin/news_serv...service_id=6835 |
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| Numbers | Feb 5 2005, 12:58 PM Post #7 |
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The U.S. Air Force is playing a dangerous game of cat and mouse with Iran's ayatollahs, flying American combat aircraft into Iranian airspace in an attempt to lure Tehran into turning on air defense radars, thus allowing U.S. pilots to grid the system for use in future targeting data, administration officials said. "We have to know which targets to attack and how to attack them," said one, speaking on condition of anonymity. The flights, which have been going on for weeks, are being launched from sites in Afghanistan and Iraq, and are part of Bush administration attempts to collect badly needed intelligence on Iran's possible nuclear weapons development sites, these sources said, speaking on condition of strict anonymity. "These Iranian air defense positions are not just being observed, they're being 'templated,'" an ad ministration official said, explaining that the flights are part of a U.S. effort to develop "an electronic order of battle for Iran" in case of actual conflict. However, a Pentagon spokesman told UPI he was unaware of any such actions. "We are not aware of any incursions into Iranian air space," said Cdr. Nick Balice, chief of media at the U.S. Central Command. In the event of an actual clash, Iran's air defense radars would be targeted for destruction by air-fired U.S. anti-radiation or ARM missiles, he said. A serving U.S. intelligence official added: "You need to know what proportion of your initial air strikes are going to have to be devoted to air defense suppression." A CentCom official told United Press International that in the event of a real military strikes, U.S. military forces would be using jamming, deception, and physical attack of Iran's sensors and its Command, Control and Intelligence (C3 systems). He also made clear that that this entails "advance, detailed knowledge of the enemy's electronic order of battle and careful preplanning." Ellen Laipson, president and CEO of the Henry L. Stimson Center and former CIA Middle East expert, said of the flights, "They are not necessarily an act of war in themselves, unless they are perceived as being so by the country that is being overflown." Laipson explained: "It's not unusual for countries to test each other's air defenses from time to time, to do a little probing -- but it can be dangerous if the target country believes that such flights could mean an imminent attack." She said her concern was that Iran "will not only turn on its air defense radars but use them to fire missiles at U.S. aircraft," an act which would "greatly increase tensions" between the two countries. The air reconnaissance is t aking place in conjunction with other intelligence collection efforts, U.S. government officials said. To collect badly needed intelligence on the ground about Iran's alleged nuclear program, the United States is depending heavily on Israeli-trained teams of Kurds in northern Iraq and on U.S.-trained teams of former Iranian exiles in the south to gather the intelligence needed for possible strikes against Iran's 13 or more suspected nuclear sites, according to serving and retired U.S. intelligence officials. Both groups are doing cross border incursions into Iran, some in conjunction with U.S. Special Forces, these sources said. They claimed the Kurds operating from Kurdistan, in areas they control. The second group, working from the south, is the Mujahedeen-e Khalq, listed by the State Department as a terrorist group, operating from southern Iraq, these sources said. The use of the MEK for U.S.-intelligence-gathering missions strikes some former U.S. intelligence officials as bizarre. The State Department's annual publication, "Patterns of Global Terrorism," lists them as a terrorist organization. According to the State Department report, the MEK were allies with Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein in fighting Iran and, in addition, "assisted Saddam in "suppressing opposition within Iraq, and performed internal security for the Iraqi regime." After the U.S. invasion of Iraq in March 2003, U.S. forces seized and destroyed MEK munitions and weapons, and about 4,000 MEK operatives were "consolidated, detained, disarmed, and screened for any past terrorist acts, the report said. Shortly afterwards, the Bush administration began to use them in its covert operations against Iran, former senior U.S. intelligence officials said. "They've been active in the south for some time," said former CIA counterterrorism chi ef, Vince Cannistraro. The MEK are said to be currently launching raids from Camp Habib in Basra, but recently Pakistan President Pervez Musharaff granted permission for the MEK to operate from Pakistan's Baluchi area, U.S. officials said. Asked about the Musharaff decision, Laipson said: "Not a smart move. The last thing he (Musharaff) needs is another batch of hotheads on Pakistani soil." A former senior Iranian diplomat told United Press International that the Kurds in the Baluchi areas of Pakistan can operate in freedom because the Baluchis "have no love for the mullahs of Iran." In fact, in the early 1980s, there were massacres of Iranian Revolutionary Guards in the area by Baluchi militants who wish to be independent, he said. Both covert groups are tasked by the Bush administration with planting sensors or "sniffers" close to suspected Iran nuclear weapons development sites that will enable the Bush administration to monitor the progress on the program and develop targeting data, these sources said. "There is an urgent need to obtain this information, at least in the minds of administration hawks," an administration official said. "This looks to be turning into a pretty large-scale covert operation," a former long-time CIA operator in the region told UPI. In addition to the air strikes on allegedly Iranian nuclear weapons sites, the second aim of the operation is to secure the support in Iran of those "who view U.S. policy of hostility towards Iran's clerics with favor," he said. The United States is also attempting to erect a covert infrastructure in Iran able to support U.S. efforts, this source said. It consists of Israelis and other U.S. assets, using third country passports, who have created a network of front companies that they own and staff. "It's a covert infrastructure for material support," a U.S. administration official said. The network would be able to move money, weapons and personnel around inside Iran, he said. The covert infrastructure could also provide safe houses and the like, he said. Cannistraro, who knew of the program, said: "I doubt the quality of these kinds or programs," explaining the United States had set up a similar network just before the hostage-rescue attempt in 1980. "People forget that the Iranians quickly rolled up that entire network after the rescue attempt failed," Cannistraro said. The administration's fear is that by possessing a nuclear weapon, Iran will gain a new stature and status in the region strengthening its determination to remove the U.S presence from the region and making its hostility seem more credible, U.S. officials said. There is also the administration's fear that Iran, with Syria's help, will accelerate Palestinian terrorism as Israel withdraws from the Gaza Strip, these sources said. So the United States, backed by Israel, is deadly earnest about neutralizing Iran's nuclear weapons site. "The administration has determined that there is no diplomatic solution," said John Pike, president of the online think-tank globalsecurity.org. "Like the Israelis, the Bush administration has decided that forces of sweetness and light won't be running Iran any time soon, and that having atomic ayatollahs is simply not acceptable." Said Cannistraro of the administration's policy: "Its very, very, very dangerous." Source |
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| Flashbang | Feb 17 2005, 06:01 PM Post #8 |
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Unidentified jet fires 12 missiles in Iran- Iran attacked www.jang.com.pk/thenews Unidentified jet fires 12 missiles in Iran (Updated at 1910 PST) TEHRAN: A huge explosion has occurred in the Iranian city of Daylam. According to Iranian TV an unidentified jet has dropped a missile however no reports of casualties have so far been received. Iran has also retaliated by firing anti-aircraft guns. Iran’s nuclear installations are also located in Daylam however the target of the aircraft is yet to be ascertained and the country from which the aircraft came is also unidentified. It must be clarified that Iran is constructing its atomic powerhouse in Daylam while the US claims that Iran is preparing nuclear weapons there. -------the Isrelis have done it again
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| Kampilan | Feb 17 2005, 07:28 PM Post #9 |
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Iran claims the explosion was caused by maintenance work and not by missile attacks. |
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| Fmr TOPP Awardee 82'PNP | Feb 27 2005, 03:07 PM Post #10 |
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They are also using drones or unmanned aircraft to do the surveillance. They were already sighted and some Iranians thought it were UFOs, in fact these were spy aircrafts that conducts the plotting for the exact location of the nuclear facilities. Although the Iranians did not deny the existence but fell short of admitting that it is for military purposes, and the Americans want to zero down their location so that it can be programmed to their system for future attack just in case Iran would remain defiant to end it's proliferation. |
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