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| Official: US Would "Certainly Lose" War vs. China; Sensitive US Naval Systems Compromised | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: Nov 19 2005, 03:41 PM (363 Views) | |
| israeli | Nov 19 2005, 03:41 PM Post #1 |
 
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http://www.asiaamerica.org/publications/cif/cif-08-2005.htm Most Sensitive US Naval Systems Compromised Japanese Official: US Would "Certainly Lose" War vs. China November 6, 2005 THE ISSUE: Japanese officials have warned the US of a potential future nuclear war launched by Chinese military leaders. They warn that based on China's growing military prowess and determination for international supremacy, the Chinese Generals would disregard massive casualties resulting from a nuclear exchange. Japanese officals believe it is a war that America would "certainly lose." The shifting balance in military capabilities is exemplified by a recent FBI revelation. US counter-intelligence uncovered a devastating Chinese spy ring working in the US Defense industry in California. The cell compromised the most sensitive US naval weapons and warships by transferring volumes of secret information over a 15 year period to Chinese military intelligence. The stolen materials include sensitive data on Aegis battle management systems -- the nerve center of US naval destroyers and cruisers that protect aircraft carrier groups. Significantly, it is also the core radar and strike management system for seaborne and some space-based missile defense systems. The FBI's information on the spy ring - called the most damaging spy case since the Walker Family sold sensitive naval codes to the Soviet Union. Reported by William Gertz in the November 5, 2005 Washington Times, the ring also passed information to Beijing that will help the People's Liberation Army [PLA] perfect Electromagnetic Pulse weapons [EMP]. EMP weapons that can sever the American "Achilles Heel" by destroying all electronic communications systems across broad areas of the United States or in an international war zone. The knowledge of these sensitive US systems, combined with anti-Aegis missiles and other sophisticated weapons obtained from Moscow, can enable Beijing to deliver what the PLA calls an "Assassin's Mace" surprise attack against US forces in the Taiwan Strait, the Sea of Japan, Hawaii and the entire Trans-Pacific region. China Plays the Japan Card: Japanese civilian and military leaders are pursing an independent national defense capability due to growing US military liabilities in the shadow of China's military and geopolitical emergence. Japan, even more than China, is desperately dependent on oil imports. Almost all of Japan's oil imports from the Middle East and elsewhere must pass in the waters along Taiwan and the Philippines. Taiwan has rapidly lost the ability to adequately defend itself against the Russian-supplied massive Chinese military modernization. United States aircraft carrier groups are now compromised and vulnerable to attack by China with Russian-made supersonic Moskit missiles. The Philippines is paralyzed political instability in Manila and plagued by insurgencies in key economic and strategic provinces. The Philippine Navy does not have the equipment or weapons systems to defend its territorial waters against foreign aggression. Japan's fear of nuclear attack was compounded in early November, when talks between Japanese and belligerent North Korean officials broke down in acrimony. A conflict scenario over North Korea was played out in August 2005 during China-Russia military war games, which focused on a joint rapid strike to seize North Korea from "foreign aggression." [See: China in Focus, Issue Number 6.] On November 4, Tokyo's outspoken Governor and possible future Prime Minister Shintaro Ishihara used a public speech in Washington to warn the U.S. would, "certainly lose" a war against China. He stated, as have numerous other Japanese officials have claimed, China's leaders would attack major U.S. (and Japanese) cities with nuclear and other weapons of mass destruction, without concern for massive retaliatory casualties on their own territory. The U.S., with an aversion to casualties, would capitulate because they could not handle the mass suffering of a nuclear war. In addition, massive nuclear strike against Japan could trigger a seismological disaster in Tokyo and along Japan's other precarious earthquake fault lines. China's nuclear weapons buildup and duplicity over North Korea's nuclear missile program, has made numerous threats of violence against Japan. Some have been over Taiwan and others over disputed territorial claims involving natural gas reserves in the East China Sea. Beijing is increasingly projecting force with warships and submarines to intimidate Japan. Ishihara also claimed that the U.S., with all its problems in the Middle East, was not a dependable military ally. This skillful Chinese psychological warfare, rooted in military reality, has baited Japan into a more aggressive and emotional defense posture. Beijing has combined military threats with government-orchestrated and internationally publicized anti-Japanese demonstrations that have infuriated all Japanese. Without provocation, Beijing has whipped up painful memories of World War II across the region. The U.S., on the other hand, has not worked with Tokyo to adequately consult with Asian neighbors and justify legitimate needs for Japan's defense modernization. Regional fear of a resurgent Imperial Japan combined with a loss of respect for the U.S. caused by Iraq, has turned Korea and increasing numbers of Southeast Asian countries politically and economically toward China. Philippine Security Nightmare: No Fighter Planes, Weak Navy The Philippines has been the core ally of the United States and the world's democracies in Southeast Asia, straddling essential maritime lines of communication, trade and defense between the Middle East and the Pacific, linking South and North Asia. Tragically beset by political paralysis, insurgencies and mismanagement, the Philippines has lost the capability to defend its territory from outside aggression. The Philippine Air Force, once the strongest in Southeast Asia, today finds itself without a single jet fighter plane to protect the country's vast 7,000 island archipelago's airspace. The antiquated Philippine navy is also without the firepower to resist territorial incursions. The Chinese navy maintains a warship presence on Mischief Reef, in Philippine territorial waters, alongside the strategic Palawan Passage in the South China Sea - where all oil to North Asia from the Middle East must pass. While China has been offering massive amounts of arms almost free of monetary charge (but with a political price) to dictatorships around the region, why has the American and other allied governments failed to assist the Philippines? The cost, on all levels, is much less than a regional conflict that could turn nuclear. Conclusion: The Chinese People Need Open Information American and Japanese security experts have stated that the free world faces even greater potential military destruction than during World War II and the Cold War. The lethality of today's weapons systems and the vulnerability of our dependency on sensitive technologies - both civilian and military - would make an aggressive surprise attack using a combination of nuclear, electromagnetic pulse and cyber weapon extremely difficult to recover from. Some authorities such as Tokyo Governor Ishihara advocate "economic containment" against China. However, it should be remembered that economic "containment" against Japan led to a widespread World War some 60 years ago. It would also be difficult to curtail trade and investment in China because of the greed and selfishness of international corporations and investors who are trapped by Beijing in trying to recoup the billions of dollars they have made in unwise investments. Chinese strategic planners call this entrapment of the capitalists, "Encircling Politics with Commerce." Many of the politicians who set security and trade policies are heavily supported by these same unwise investors and corporate executives. A more effective strategy may be to empower the Chinese people through keeping open inter-Chinese communications systems. So-called psychological operations by the West has failed miserably in the Muslim world and should be avoided. International human rights organizations and media defenders have accused Western companies such as Yahoo, AOL, NORTEL, Google, and Cisco Systems of providing communist Chinese authorities with the ability to control information on the internet. Worse, Western-provided technology has enabled Chinese cyber police to arrest and persecute dissidents who seek to open Chinese society for peace and equitable treatment of all citizens. The United States, Japan, Taiwan, the European Union and other open societies should impose strict regulations on companies to deny dictators the technology to persecute cyber dissidents and other advocates of peace and democracy. This basic human rights issue is a central ingredient needed to deter a devastating nuclear war. |
| "To secure peace is to prepare for war." - Carl Von Clausewitz | |
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3:02 PM Jul 13