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| Why Philippines Stands Up to China | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: May 1 2013, 07:32 PM (576 Views) | |
| seWer Rat | May 1 2013, 07:32 PM Post #1 |
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amateur sewer cleaner
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The Philippines is hopelessly mismatched against China in pure military terms. But there are historical reasons why it won't back down in the South China Sea. Last month, I wrote a column for Global Times in which I observed that a dominant Chinese Navy lets China’s leadership deploy unarmed surveillance and law-enforcement vessels as it implements policy in the ongoing stand off at Scarborough Shoal. It can flourish a small, unprovocative seeming stick while holding the big stick – overwhelming naval firepower, and thus the option of escalating – in reserve. That, I wrote, translates into “virtual coercion and deterrence” vis-à-vis lesser Asian powers. If weak states defy Beijing, they know what may come next. Global Times readers evidently interpreted this as my prophesying that Southeast Asian states will despair at the hopeless military mismatch in the South China Sea – and give in automatically and quickly during controversies like Scarborough Shoal. Not so. Diplomacy and war are interactive enterprises. Both sides – not just the strong – get a vote. Manila refuses to vote Beijing’s way. Military supremacy is no guarantee of victory in wartime, let alone in peacetime controversies. The strong boast advantages that bias the competition in their favor. But the weak still have options. Manila can hope to offset Beijing’s advantages, and it has every reason to try. Sounds familiar, doesn’t it? China has been the weaker belligerent in every armed clash since the 19th century Opium Wars. It nevertheless came out on top in the most important struggles. more |
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| Uruzu | May 1 2013, 10:56 PM Post #2 |
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Ah .. Global times , where the infamous ''John Chan'' resides. Even worse than the Chibots on mp.net lol. Anyway good stuff. |
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| Parastriker | May 3 2013, 11:19 PM Post #3 |
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So, were you one of his victims there? Anyway, I love how Global somehow explains something and then bungles it in the end. In the nation-state level, there is no such thing such as "inevitable". We could do the Fabian Strategy until A. UNCLOS favorably judges to us (almost certain) or B. the Chinese do something funny, or pull off a complete military operation off those islands, which we would almost certainly reply with ships of our own, and even though we could not defeat them with our current limited assets, Seventh Fleet, via MDT's blessing, would surely do. |
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Success through information, victory through disinformation. "Good leaders make efficient followers. Great leaders make good followers. But true leaders make leaders out of mere followers." "Measuring the intelligence of a common internet user is as easy as looking at his/her grammar." | |
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